December
Open DateDate we would have opened this trade. | UnderlyingUnderlying security | Trade TypeTrading strategy | StrikesStrike prices | Option TypeCall or Put | ExpirationExpiration date | CreditAmount we would open trade. | DebitAmount we would close trade. | ResultPercentage this trade would have earned. | Trade NotesSpecial notes regarding this trade. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dec 19 | RUT | Vertical | 1320/1325 | Put | Dec 21, 2018 | 0.55 | 0 | 12.36% | expired for profit |
After weeks of choppy trading, the markets finally broke down, logging one of the worst Decembers in decades. The final week closed out with significant gains but the road to recovery will be long. The major averages hit bear market territory this month which is a 20% decline from the high. Concerns of interest rates and trade wars are on the minds of investors and will remain so until more certainty is gained.
November
Open DateDate we would have opened this trade. | UnderlyingUnderlying security | Trade TypeTrading strategy | StrikesStrike prices | Option TypeCall or Put | ExpirationExpiration date | CreditAmount we would open trade. | DebitAmount we would close trade. | ResultPercentage this trade would have earned. | Trade NotesSpecial notes regarding this trade. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 29 | RUT | Condor | 1345/1350/1630/1635 | Both | Nov 16, 2018 | 0.90 | 0 | 20.22% | expired for profit |
Wall Street does not like uncertainty. Now that the mid-term elections are behind us, at least some of that uncertainty is resolved. We still have thorns in our side regarding interest rates possibly being raised too much as well as trade tensions with China. Until these issues either resolve or become more clear, we may continue to see choppy trading ahead.
October
Open DateDate we would have opened this trade. | UnderlyingUnderlying security | Trade TypeTrading strategy | StrikesStrike prices | Option TypeCall or Put | ExpirationExpiration date | CreditAmount we would open trade. | DebitAmount we would close trade. | ResultPercentage this trade would have earned. | Trade NotesSpecial notes regarding this trade. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 3 | RUT | Vertical | 1615/1620 | Put | Oct 19, 2018 | 0.65 | 2.05 | -32.18% | closed for net debit of $1.40 |
The equity markets sold off this month, pushing levels into correction territory once again. The last time this happened was in February and the markets bounced back nicely. We set new record highs between now and then and there is no doubt we'll do it again.
September
Open DateDate we would have opened this trade. | UnderlyingUnderlying security | Trade TypeTrading strategy | StrikesStrike prices | Option TypeCall or Put | ExpirationExpiration date | CreditAmount we would open trade. | DebitAmount we would close trade. | ResultPercentage this trade would have earned. | Trade NotesSpecial notes regarding this trade. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aug 23 | RUT | Condor | 1680/1685/1780/1785 | Both | Sep 21, 2018 | 0.85 | 0 | 18.48% | expired for profit |
As forecasted last month, we did test the recent highs and broke through them. Our economy is very strong and the stock market is reflecting that. Trade war fears and higher interest rates is not slowing this market down.
August
Open DateDate we would have opened this trade. | UnderlyingUnderlying security | Trade TypeTrading strategy | StrikesStrike prices | Option TypeCall or Put | ExpirationExpiration date | CreditAmount we would open trade. | DebitAmount we would close trade. | ResultPercentage this trade would have earned. | Trade NotesSpecial notes regarding this trade. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jul 27 | RUT | Condor | 1650/1655/1735/1740 | Both | Aug 17, 2018 | 0.55 | 0 | 11.70% | expired for profit |
The markets moved higher but did hit a couple of snags along the way. Sharp declines could have been worse but Wall Street did bounce back quickly. We did not want to catch a falling knife during these selloffs and took a more conservative position. As the options cycle ended, the markets were on a tear and could test new highs in the very near future.
July
Open DateDate we would have opened this trade. | UnderlyingUnderlying security | Trade TypeTrading strategy | StrikesStrike prices | Option TypeCall or Put | ExpirationExpiration date | CreditAmount we would open trade. | DebitAmount we would close trade. | ResultPercentage this trade would have earned. | Trade NotesSpecial notes regarding this trade. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jun 26 | RUT | Condor | 1595/1600/1725/1730 | Both | Jul 20, 2018 | 1.00 | 0 | 22.47% | expired for profit |
The NASDAQ and Russell 2000 hit new record highs again this cycle. Any trade war fears caused short-term dips in the market, only be bounce back higher. These buying opportunities have been great for the bulls. The economy is chugging along and the market is supporting that. Trade war rhetoric may strike fear into some but for now, it's mostly just talk. Even if we do have a trade war, if may hurt at first but the economy can handle. Also, as long as we get better trade deals from it, it will be better for the country's future.
June
Open DateDate we would have opened this trade. | UnderlyingUnderlying security | Trade TypeTrading strategy | StrikesStrike prices | Option TypeCall or Put | ExpirationExpiration date | CreditAmount we would open trade. | DebitAmount we would close trade. | ResultPercentage this trade would have earned. | Trade NotesSpecial notes regarding this trade. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jun 4 | RUT | Vertical | 1690/1695 | Call | Jun 15, 2018 | 0.40 | 0 | 8.70% | expired for profit |
Traders typically take the Summer off from Wall Street, lending to low volume and not much price movement. Recently though, a rally kicked off the season, pushing the NASDAQ and Russell 2000 to record highs. The markets are handling any negative news thrown out there in stride and will probably continue for the near-term.
May
Open DateDate we would have opened this trade. | UnderlyingUnderlying security | Trade TypeTrading strategy | StrikesStrike prices | Option TypeCall or Put | ExpirationExpiration date | CreditAmount we would open trade. | DebitAmount we would close trade. | ResultPercentage this trade would have earned. | Trade NotesSpecial notes regarding this trade. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Apr 26 | RUT | Vertical | 1485/1490 | Put | May 18, 2018 | 0.50 | 0 | 11.11% | expired for profit |
We had a big selloff at the beginning of the month but have rallied back nicely since then. In fact, the VIX has dropped below 15 and dips have been met with serious buying. We may have shaken off the headwinds of late and are poised to move higher into the Summer.
April
Open DateDate we would have opened this trade. | UnderlyingUnderlying security | Trade TypeTrading strategy | StrikesStrike prices | Option TypeCall or Put | ExpirationExpiration date | CreditAmount we would open trade. | DebitAmount we would close trade. | ResultPercentage this trade would have earned. | Trade NotesSpecial notes regarding this trade. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Apr 11 | RUT | Vertical | 1585/1590 | Call | Apr 20, 2018 | 0.70 | 0 | 16.28% | expired for profit |
April has been relatively flat. The markets seem to have gotten over its fears of late but has not found the positive sentiment needed to push us significantly higher. Bond yields have risen to a key 3.0% on the 10-year. This has investors spooked. Earnings are doing great. This has investors optimistic. The combination of these have set the markets in a range. Until we get some direction, the markets may continue in this range.
March
Open DateDate we would have opened this trade. | UnderlyingUnderlying security | Trade TypeTrading strategy | StrikesStrike prices | Option TypeCall or Put | ExpirationExpiration date | CreditAmount we would open trade. | DebitAmount we would close trade. | ResultPercentage this trade would have earned. | Trade NotesSpecial notes regarding this trade. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Feb 28 | RUT | Vertical | 1495/1500 | Put | Mar 16, 2018 | 0.85 | 0 | 20.48% | expired for profit |
We haven't fully recovered from last month's selloff but over time it will be fine. High volatility is the norm right now and may be this way for at least another month or two. Things will need to settle down before we get back to possibly setting new highs in the markets.
February
Open DateDate we would have opened this trade. | UnderlyingUnderlying security | Trade TypeTrading strategy | StrikesStrike prices | Option TypeCall or Put | ExpirationExpiration date | CreditAmount we would open trade. | DebitAmount we would close trade. | ResultPercentage this trade would have earned. | Trade NotesSpecial notes regarding this trade. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Feb 1 | RUT | Vertical | 1525/1530 | Put | Feb 16, 2018 | 0.80 | 0 | 19.05% | expired for profit |
The market selloff finally came and it took many by surprise. The major indices dropped into correction territory, which is a 10% decline from the most recent high. The speed of this decline is what worries investors now. This is typically healthy for the markets but this pullback has been well overdue. There may be some pain ahead as we try to bounce back from this.
January
Open DateDate we would have opened this trade. | UnderlyingUnderlying security | Trade TypeTrading strategy | StrikesStrike prices | Option TypeCall or Put | ExpirationExpiration date | CreditAmount we would open trade. | DebitAmount we would close trade. | ResultPercentage this trade would have earned. | Trade NotesSpecial notes regarding this trade. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dec 29 | RUT | Vertical | 1595/1600 | Call | Jan 19, 2018 | 0.42 | 0 | 9.17% | expired for profit |
Record highs after record highs. The markets don't seem to want to slow down or even know how to pull back. This exuberance will eventually come to an end. Experts just don't know when as they've been forecasting a drop for quite some time now.